Mutual vs Citizen AA: result 1-1 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 26, 2017 at 05:30 AM (UTC)Po Kong Village Road Park 1, Hong Kong
Full time
What was the result of Mutual vs Citizen AA?
Mutual and Citizen AA drew 1-1 on November 26, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Mutual have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Citizen AA have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2017 | Kwun Tong(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Double Flower(home) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 5, 2017 | Rangers(away) | 5-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 28, 2017 | South China(away) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 22, 2017 | Shatin(home) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2017 | Hoi King(home) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Wing Yee(away) | 0-6 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 5, 2017 | Double Flower(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 29, 2017 | Resources Capital(home) | 3-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 21, 2017 | Wanchai(home) | 4-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Mutual score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 11; Citizen AA score 1.7 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutual | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/11 | 7/11 |
| Citizen AA | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Citizen AA | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 4 |
A question about Mutual vs Citizen AA?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy