Nação vs Hercílio Luz: result 0-1 and analysis
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 17, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Arena Joinville, Joinville, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Nação vs Hercílio Luz?
Hercílio Luz won 0-1 on September 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 75′ClaytonHercílio Luz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nação have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Hercílio Luz have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2023 | Avai(home) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Barra(away) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Internacional SC(home) | 3-0 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Internacional SC(away) | 0-1 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Guarani de Palhoça(home) | 1-1 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2023 | Figueirense(away) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Internacional SC(home) | 4-4 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Ferroviária(home) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Ferroviária(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Aimoré(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Nação score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hercílio Luz score 1.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nação | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Hercílio Luz | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy