Nacional Potosí vs FBC Melgar: result 0-2 and analysis
CONMEBOL Sudamericana1st RoundKick-off on February 4, 2020 at 10:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte, Potosí
Full time
What was the result of Nacional Potosí vs FBC Melgar?
FBC Melgar won 0-2 on February 4, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 5′J. SánchezFBC Melgar
- 66′O. ArceFBC Melgar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional Potosí have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; FBC Melgar have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2020 | Bolívar(away) | 0-4 | Primera División |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Atlético Palmaflor(home) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Oriente Petrolero(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jan 24, 2020 | Jorge Wilstermann(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Dec 28, 2019 | Always Ready(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | Universitario(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Academia Cantolao(home) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Cesar Vallejo(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Nov 2, 2019 | Sport Boys(away) | 2-4 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional Potosí score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FBC Melgar score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Potosí | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| FBC Melgar | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional Potosí sit 4th in CONMEBOL Sudamericana (7 points from 6 matches) and FBC Melgar sit 3rd (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional Potosí | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy