Nacional SP vs America SP: result 5-3 and analysis
Paulista - A41st Phase - 13Kick-off on March 20, 2024 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nicolau Alayon, São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Nacional SP vs America SP?
Nacional SP won 5-3 on March 20, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 8′?Nacional SP
- 15′?Nacional SP
- 27′?Nacional SP (pen.)
- 32′?Nacional SP
- 34′?America SP
- 39′Juan Carlo Santos De JesusAmerica SP
- 44′?America SP
- 90′?Nacional SP
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional SP have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; America SP have 1, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | Gremio Osasco Audax(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A4 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Francana(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A4 |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Grêmio Sãocarlense(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A4 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Rio Branco SP(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A4 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Taquaritinga(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | XV de Jau(away) | 1-3 | Paulista - A4 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SKA Brasil(home) | 0-2 | Paulista - A4 |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Penapolense(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A4 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Vocem(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A4 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Rio Branco SP(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional SP score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; America SP score 0.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional SP | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| America SP | 0.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 5/12 | 4/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nacional SP | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy