Nacional vs FC Porto: result 1-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 21, 2015 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs FC Porto?
Nacional and FC Porto drew 1-1 on March 21, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 45′Cristian TelloFC Porto
- 62′WagnerNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; FC Porto have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2015 | Academica(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 9, 2015 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 1, 2015 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 21, 2015 | SC Braga(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 16, 2015 | Estoril(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2015 | Arouca(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 10, 2015 | FC Basel 1893(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Mar 6, 2015 | SC Braga(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 1, 2015 | Sporting CP(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 23, 2015 | Boavista(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FC Porto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2014 | FC Porto 2-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 30, 2014 | Nacional 2-1 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 23, 2013 | FC Porto 1-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 4, 2013 | Nacional 1-3 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 5, 2013 | FC Porto 1-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 16, 2012 | Nacional 0-2 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Porto score 2.3 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Porto | 2.3 | 0.4 | 10 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 7th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and FC Porto sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy