Nacional vs FC Porto: result 2-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 30, 2014 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs FC Porto?
Nacional won 2-1 on March 30, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 19′CandeiasNacional
- 46′J. MartínezFC Porto
- 48′M. RondónNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; FC Porto have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | Olhanense(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 17, 2014 | Benfica(home) | 2-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 8, 2014 | SC Braga(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 2, 2014 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 21, 2014 | Academica(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | Belenenses(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 16, 2014 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 9, 2014 | Arouca(home) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 2, 2014 | Guimaraes(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 23, 2014 | Estoril(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 FC Porto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2013 | FC Porto 1-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 4, 2013 | Nacional 1-3 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 5, 2013 | FC Porto 1-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 16, 2012 | Nacional 0-2 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 23, 2011 | FC Porto 5-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 26, 2011 | FC Porto 3-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Porto score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Porto | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 8th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and FC Porto sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy