Nacional vs Guimaraes: result 3-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2016 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Guimaraes?
Nacional won 3-2 on March 20, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 2′LicáGuimaraes
- 14′Rui CorreiaNacional
- 45′Henrique DouradoGuimaraes (pen.)
- 52′Tiquinho SoaresNacional
- 81′Tiquinho SoaresNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Guimaraes have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2016 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 6, 2016 | Boavista(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 26, 2016 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 21, 2016 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 13, 2016 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2016 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 6, 2016 | Academica(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 29, 2016 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 21, 2016 | SC Braga(away) | 3-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 13, 2016 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nacional win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Guimaraes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2015 | Guimaraes 0-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2015 | Nacional 2-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 4, 2015 | Guimaraes 4-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 3, 2014 | Guimaraes 1-2 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Nacional 1-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 1, 2013 | Nacional 2-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes score 1.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Guimaraes | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 7th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and Guimaraes sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy