Naestved vs Fremad Amager: result 0-1 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 25, 2016 at 11:45 AM (UTC)MTM Service Park, Næstved
Full time
What was the result of Naestved vs Fremad Amager?
Fremad Amager won 0-1 on September 25, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 66′A. KaaghFremad Amager
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naestved have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Fremad Amager have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2016 | Skive(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 5, 2016 | Nykobing FC(away) | 4-4 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 1, 2016 | HB Koge(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 28, 2016 | FC Helsingor(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2016 | Hobro(home) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Roskilde(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 31, 2016 | VB 1968(away) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Skive(home) | 5-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 21, 2016 | HB Koge(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Naestved score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fremad Amager score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naestved | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Fremad Amager | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy