Naftëtari Kuçovë vs Lushnja: result 1-4 and analysis
1st DivisionMatchday 13Kick-off on November 24, 2012 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Fusha Sportive Skrapar, Çorovodë
Full time
What was the result of Naftëtari Kuçovë vs Lushnja?
Lushnja won 1-4 on November 24, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 6′M. ÇamkoLushnja
- 27′M. ÇamkoLushnja
- 67′Gentian ÇelaLushnja
- 87′Laert NdoniNaftëtari Kuçovë (o.g.)
- 88′Elhan GalicaLushnja
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naftëtari Kuçovë have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Lushnja have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2012 | Partizani(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Kamza(home) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Besëlidhja Lezhë(away) | 0-3 | 1st Division |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Himara(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Gramshi(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2012 | Himara(home) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Gramshi(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Mamurrasi(home) | 3-0 | 1st Division |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Pogradeci(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë(home) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Naftëtari Kuçovë score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lushnja score 1.3 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naftëtari Kuçovë | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Lushnja | 1.3 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lushnja | 33 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 26 | 47 | 26 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy