Naftovyk-Ukrnafta vs Arsenal Bila Tserkva: result 1-2 and analysis
Persha LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 10, 2011 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Naftovyk, Okhtyrka
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What was the result of Naftovyk-Ukrnafta vs Arsenal Bila Tserkva?
Arsenal Bila Tserkva won 1-2 on October 10, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 10′D. LeonovArsenal Bila Tserkva
- 34′A. KarnozaNaftovyk-Ukrnafta (pen.)
- 45′Vadim SlavovArsenal Bila Tserkva
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naftovyk-Ukrnafta have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Arsenal Bila Tserkva have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2011 | Hoverla(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 30, 2011 | Olimpik Donetsk(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Stal Alchevsk(home) | 3-4 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 16, 2011 | Enerhetyk(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 12, 2011 | Tytan Armyansk(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2011 | Olimpik Donetsk(home) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 30, 2011 | Stal Alchevsk(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 25, 2011 | Enerhetyk(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Kryvbas(home) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Tytan Armyansk(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Naftovyk-Ukrnafta score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Bila Tserkva score 1.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naftovyk-Ukrnafta | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Arsenal Bila Tserkva | 1.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy