Naftovyk-Ukrnafta vs Desna: result 2-1 and analysis
Persha LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 19, 2013 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Naftovyk, Okhtyrka
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What was the result of Naftovyk-Ukrnafta vs Desna?
Naftovyk-Ukrnafta won 2-1 on October 19, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 6′E. KartushovDesna
- 64′Oleh ErmakNaftovyk-Ukrnafta (pen.)
- 83′Y. RadionovNaftovyk-Ukrnafta
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naftovyk-Ukrnafta have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Desna have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2013 | Bukovyna(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Stal Alchevsk(home) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Sumy(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Olimpik Donetsk(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Poltava(away) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2013 | Mykolaiv(home) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Zirka(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Oleksandria(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 25, 2013 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2013 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Naftovyk-Ukrnafta score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Desna score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naftovyk-Ukrnafta | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Desna | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy