Naftovyk-Ukrnafta vs Stal Alchevsk: result 3-4 and analysis
Persha LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on September 24, 2011 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Naftovyk, Okhtyrka
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What was the result of Naftovyk-Ukrnafta vs Stal Alchevsk?
Stal Alchevsk won 3-4 on September 24, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 2′B. Okana-StaziStal Alchevsk
- 16′Anton PostupalenkoStal Alchevsk
- 17′D. BaszłajNaftovyk-Ukrnafta
- 24′Ivan KozorizNaftovyk-Ukrnafta
- 36′Collince Ngaha PoungoueStal Alchevsk
- 61′A. KarnozaNaftovyk-Ukrnafta
- 70′B. Okana-StaziStal Alchevsk
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Naftovyk-Ukrnafta have 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Stal Alchevsk have 3, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2011 | Enerhetyk(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 12, 2011 | Tytan Armyansk(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 5, 2011 | Kobra(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 31, 2011 | Sevastopol(home) | 3-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 26, 2011 | Krymteplitsia(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2011 | Olimpik Donetsk(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 9, 2011 | Hoverla(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 5, 2011 | Enerhetyk(away) | 0-3 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 31, 2011 | Tytan Armyansk(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 26, 2011 | Kobra(away) | 0-4 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Naftovyk-Ukrnafta score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 12; Stal Alchevsk score 1.0 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naftovyk-Ukrnafta | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5 | 6/12 | 5/12 |
| Stal Alchevsk | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 5/12 | 8/12 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy