NagaWorld vs Phnom Penh Crown: prediction and stats
C-LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Olympic Stadium, Phnom Penh
The Footlab model makes Phnom Penh Crown the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for NagaWorld. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NagaWorld vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Phnom Penh Crown starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,771 vs 1,603).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NagaWorld have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Phnom Penh Crown have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Angkor Tiger(away) | 1-4 | C-League |
| May 10, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(away) | 0-3 | C-League |
| May 3, 2026 | Kompong Dewa(home) | 1-3 | C-League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Svay Rieng(away) | 1-1 | C-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Boeung Ket(home) | 1-3 | C-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Svay Rieng(away) | 2-1 | C-League |
| May 10, 2026 | NagaWorld(home) | 3-0 | C-League |
| May 3, 2026 | Boeung Ket(away) | 0-2 | C-League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kompong Dewa(away) | 0-1 | C-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Angkor Tiger(home) | 2-0 | C-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NagaWorld win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Phnom Penh Crown win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown 3-0 NagaWorld | C-League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | NagaWorld 1-0 Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown 2-1 NagaWorld | C-League |
| Nov 19, 2025 | NagaWorld 0-1 Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
| May 4, 2025 | NagaWorld 2-4 Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Phnom Penh Crown 0-1 NagaWorld | Hun Sen Cup |
Last archived meeting: Phnom Penh Crown vs NagaWorld on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NagaWorld score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Phnom Penh Crown score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NagaWorld | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Phnom Penh Crown | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NagaWorld sit 5th in C-League (43 points from 30 matches) and Phnom Penh Crown sit 3rd (56 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Phnom Penh Crown | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 53 | 36 | 56 |
| 5 | NagaWorld | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 39 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NagaWorld vs Phnom Penh Crown?
- The Footlab model makes Phnom Penh Crown the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for NagaWorld.
- Where and when is NagaWorld vs Phnom Penh Crown played?
- NagaWorld vs Phnom Penh Crown is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Olympic Stadium, in the C-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.