Match

Naousa vs Florina: prediction and stats

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 17Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Gipedo Naousa, Naousa

NaousaFlorina

The Footlab model makes Naousa the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Florina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Naousa vs Florina?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Naousa (1,465) and Florina (1,429).

Naousa win47 %
Draw28 %
Florina win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Naousa have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Florina have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Naousa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 8, 2024Kampaniakos Chalastra(home)0-2Cup
Florina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2020Niki Agkathia(home)0-1Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Feb 29, 2020Giannitsa(home)3-3Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Feb 23, 2020Almopos(away)0-7Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Feb 16, 2020Makedonikos Neapolis(home)0-0Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Feb 9, 2020Nea Kallikrateia(away)2-0Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Naousa score 0.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 1; Florina score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Naousa0.02.000/10/1
Florina1.11.764/157/15

Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Naousa vs Florina?
The Footlab model makes Naousa the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Florina.
Where and when is Naousa vs Florina played?
Naousa vs Florina is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Gipedo Naousa, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Naousa and Florina

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