Match

Naousa vs Thyella Katsikas: prediction and stats

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Gipedo Naousa, Naousa

NaousaThyella Katsikas

The Footlab model makes Naousa the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Thyella Katsikas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Naousa vs Thyella Katsikas?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Naousa (1,465) and Thyella Katsikas (1,485).

Naousa win47 %
Draw28 %
Thyella Katsikas win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Naousa have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Thyella Katsikas have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Naousa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 8, 2024Kampaniakos Chalastra(home)0-2Cup
Thyella Katsikas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 7, 2024Larisa(home)0-3Cup
Apr 28, 2024Astir Stavros(home)3-0Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Apr 24, 2024Trikala(away)0-2Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Apr 20, 2024Vataniakos(home)4-0Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Apr 14, 2024Svoronos(away)2-0Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Naousa score 0.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 1; Thyella Katsikas score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Naousa0.02.000/10/1
Thyella Katsikas1.41.075/156/15

Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Naousa vs Thyella Katsikas?
The Footlab model makes Naousa the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Thyella Katsikas.
Where and when is Naousa vs Thyella Katsikas played?
Naousa vs Thyella Katsikas is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Gipedo Naousa, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Naousa and Thyella Katsikas

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