Napoli vs Benfica: result 4-2 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on September 28, 2016 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
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What was the result of Napoli vs Benfica?
Napoli won 4-2 on September 28, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 20′M. HamšíkNapoli
- 51′D. MertensNapoli
- 54′A. MilikNapoli (pen.)
- 58′D. MertensNapoli
- 70′Gonçalo GuedesBenfica
- 86′E. SalvioBenfica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Napoli have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Benfica have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2016 | Chievo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Genoa(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Bologna(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2016 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Palermo(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2016 | Chaves(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2016 | SC Braga(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2016 | Beşiktaş(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 9, 2016 | Arouca(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Nacional(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Napoli score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica score 2.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Benfica | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Napoli sit 30th in UEFA Champions League (8 points from 8 matches) and Benfica sit 24th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy