Nardò vs Afragolese: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 14Kick-off on December 4, 2022 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Heffort Sport Village, Parabita
Full time
What was the result of Nardò vs Afragolese?
Nardò won 2-1 on December 4, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 38′?Afragolese (pen.)
- 70′Michael Ferreira da LuzNardò
- 74′?Nardò
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nardò have 5 wins, 9 draws and 1 defeat; Afragolese have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2022 | Casarano(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Nocerina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Gravina(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Martina Franca(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Bitonto(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2022 | Matera(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Puteolana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Team Altamura(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Barletta(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Brindisi(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Nardò score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Afragolese score 1.5 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nardò | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Afragolese | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nardò | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Nardò vs Afragolese?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy