Nardò vs Paganese: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 2Kick-off on September 17, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Via Del Mare, Matino
Full time
What was the result of Nardò vs Paganese?
Nardò and Paganese drew 1-1 on September 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 53′?Paganese
- 90′?Nardò (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nardò have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Paganese have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2023 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Casarano(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| May 28, 2023 | Cavese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 21, 2023 | Barletta(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 7, 2023 | Team Altamura(home) | 5-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2023 | Barletta(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Santa Maria Cilento(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| May 21, 2023 | Casertana(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 14, 2023 | Lupa Roma(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 7, 2023 | Tivoli(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Nardò score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Paganese score 2.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nardò | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Paganese | 2.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nardò sit 5th in Serie D - Girone H (55 points from 34 matches) and Paganese sit 4th (58 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 58 |
| 5 | Nardò | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40 | 27 | 55 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy