Nardò vs Paganese: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 1Kick-off on September 7, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Heffort Sport Village, Parabita
Full time
What was the result of Nardò vs Paganese?
Paganese won 1-2 on September 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 1′582718Paganese (pen.)
- 11′L. LombardiPaganese
- 50′F. MinervaNardò
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nardò have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Paganese have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Martina Franca(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| May 4, 2025 | Città di Fasano(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Brindisi(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 13, 2025 | USD Palmese(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Ischia(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| May 4, 2025 | Latte Dolce(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Ilvamaddalena(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Atletico Uri(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Sarnese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Nardò wins, 2 draws, 0 Paganese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | Paganese 1-1 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Nardò 1-1 Paganese | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Nardò score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paganese score 1.2 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nardò | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Paganese | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nardò | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Nardò vs Paganese?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy