National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)National Bank of Egypt Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes National Bank of Egypt the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Ghazl El Mehalla. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate National Bank of Egypt (1,858) and Ghazl El Mehalla (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, National Bank of Egypt have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ghazl El Mehalla have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | Pharco(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | El Gouna FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Petrojet(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Future FC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 National Bank of Egypt win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Ghazl El Mehalla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 National Bank of Egypt | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | National Bank of Egypt 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| Mar 18, 2025 | National Bank of Egypt 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla | League Cup |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 National Bank of Egypt | Cup |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 National Bank of Egypt | Premier League |
| Jul 10, 2023 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 National Bank of Egypt | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ghazl El Mehalla vs National Bank of Egypt on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
National Bank of Egypt score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ghazl El Mehalla score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank of Egypt | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Ghazl El Mehalla | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
National Bank of Egypt sit 19th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Ghazl El Mehalla sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | National Bank of Egypt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
- The Footlab model makes National Bank of Egypt the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Ghazl El Mehalla.
- Where and when is National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla played?
- National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla is played on September 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at National Bank of Egypt Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.