National Defense vs Boeung Ket: prediction and stats
C-LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Army Stadium, Phnom Penh
The Footlab model makes Boeung Ket the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for National Defense. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win National Defense vs Boeung Ket?
Boeung Ket is a heavy favourite: 1,738 Elo points against 1,366, a 372-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, National Defense have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Boeung Ket have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Dangkor Senchey(away) | 0-6 | C-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Visakha(away) | 0-4 | C-League |
| May 2, 2026 | Life Sihanoukville(home) | 0-4 | C-League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey(home) | 3-1 | C-League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 1-3 | C-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Svay Rieng(away) | 2-3 | Hun Sen Cup |
| May 17, 2026 | Kompong Dewa(home) | 4-3 | C-League |
| May 7, 2026 | Svay Rieng(away) | 3-2 | C-League |
| May 3, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(home) | 2-0 | C-League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Svay Rieng(home) | 1-1 | Hun Sen Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 National Defense win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Boeung Ket win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Boeung Ket 2-0 National Defense | Hun Sen Cup |
| Mar 4, 2026 | National Defense 0-2 Boeung Ket | Hun Sen Cup |
| Jan 4, 2026 | National Defense 0-6 Boeung Ket | C-League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Boeung Ket 1-1 National Defense | C-League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Boeung Ket 1-1 National Defense | C-League |
| Oct 24, 2024 | National Defense 2-5 Boeung Ket | C-League |
Last archived meeting: Boeung Ket vs National Defense on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
National Defense score 0.8 and concede 3.5 goals per match over their last 15; Boeung Ket score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Defense | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Boeung Ket | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
National Defense sit 3rd in C-League (21 points from 28 matches) and Boeung Ket sit 4th (53 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | National Defense | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 76 | 21 |
| 4 | Boeung Ket | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for National Defense vs Boeung Ket?
- The Footlab model makes Boeung Ket the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for National Defense.
- Where and when is National Defense vs Boeung Ket played?
- National Defense vs Boeung Ket is played on February 13, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Army Stadium, in the C-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.