National Defense vs Dangkor Senchey: prediction and stats
C-LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Army Stadium, Phnom Penh
The Footlab model makes Dangkor Senchey the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for National Defense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win National Defense vs Dangkor Senchey?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate National Defense (1,366) and Dangkor Senchey (1,456).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, National Defense have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Dangkor Senchey have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Dangkor Senchey(away) | 0-6 | C-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Visakha(away) | 0-4 | C-League |
| May 2, 2026 | Life Sihanoukville(home) | 0-4 | C-League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey(home) | 3-1 | C-League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 1-3 | C-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | National Defense(home) | 6-0 | C-League |
| May 2, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 1-2 | C-League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 1-4 | Hun Sen Cup |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey(away) | 1-1 | C-League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Visakha(away) | 0-3 | Hun Sen Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 National Defense win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dangkor Senchey win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Dangkor Senchey 6-0 National Defense | C-League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | National Defense 1-1 Dangkor Senchey | C-League |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Dangkor Senchey 3-0 National Defense | C-League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | National Defense 1-3 Dangkor Senchey | C-League |
| May 11, 2025 | Dangkor Senchey 0-2 National Defense | C-League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | National Defense 2-1 Dangkor Senchey | C-League |
Last archived meeting: Dangkor Senchey vs National Defense on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
National Defense score 0.8 and concede 3.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dangkor Senchey score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Defense | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Dangkor Senchey | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
National Defense sit 3rd in C-League (21 points from 28 matches) and Dangkor Senchey sit 5th (18 points from 28 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | National Defense | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 76 | 21 |
| 5 | Dangkor Senchey | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 61 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for National Defense vs Dangkor Senchey?
- The Footlab model makes Dangkor Senchey the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for National Defense.
- Where and when is National Defense vs Dangkor Senchey played?
- National Defense vs Dangkor Senchey is played on December 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Army Stadium, in the C-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.