Nautico Recife vs Avai: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 8Kick-off on May 28, 2014 at 12:50 AM (UTC)Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, Recife, Pernambuco
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What was the result of Nautico Recife vs Avai?
Avai won 0-1 on May 28, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 30′Paulo SérgioAvai
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nautico Recife have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Avai have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2014 | Parana(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| May 21, 2014 | Portuguesa(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| May 10, 2014 | Joinville(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| May 3, 2014 | Ceara(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Vila Nova(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2014 | BOA(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| May 20, 2014 | Parana(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| May 17, 2014 | Ceara(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 4, 2014 | Vila Nova(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Apr 23, 2014 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Nautico Recife score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Avai score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nautico Recife | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Avai | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nautico Recife sit 15th in Serie B (31 points from 24 matches) and Avai sit 16th (29 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 27 | 31 |
| 16 | Avai | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy