Nautico Recife vs Santa Cruz: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 12Kick-off on July 11, 2015 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Itaipava Arena Pernambuco, Recife, Pernambuco
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What was the result of Nautico Recife vs Santa Cruz?
Nautico Recife won 2-1 on July 11, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 53′Guilherme LucenaNautico Recife
- 59′Anderson Angus AquinoSanta Cruz (pen.)
- 74′Gil MineiroNautico Recife
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nautico Recife have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Santa Cruz have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2015 | Mogi Mirim(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 4, 2015 | Oeste(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 27, 2015 | ABC(away) | 3-3 | Serie B |
| Jun 16, 2015 | Paysandu(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 13, 2015 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2015 | CRB(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 4, 2015 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 27, 2015 | Sampaio Correa(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 20, 2015 | Ceara(away) | 3-3 | Serie B |
| Jun 13, 2015 | BOA(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Nautico Recife score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nautico Recife | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 27 | 31 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy