Nautico Recife vs Vila Nova: result 2-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 2Kick-off on April 26, 2014 at 07:20 PM (UTC)Itaipava Arena Pernambuco, Recife, Pernambuco
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What was the result of Nautico Recife vs Vila Nova?
Nautico Recife won 2-0 on April 26, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 35′CarecaNautico Recife
- 76′CarecaNautico Recife
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nautico Recife have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Vila Nova have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2014 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Dec 7, 2013 | Corinthians(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-6 | Serie A |
| Nov 17, 2013 | Bahia(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2014 | Luverdense(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Nov 9, 2013 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Sampaio Correa(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 27, 2013 | Treze(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 20, 2013 | Treze(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Nautico Recife score 0.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vila Nova score 0.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nautico Recife | 0.7 | 2.2 | 3 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Vila Nova | 0.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nautico Recife sit 15th in Serie B (31 points from 24 matches) and Vila Nova sit 3rd (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vila Nova | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 41 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 27 | 31 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy