Nea Ionia vs Ethnikos Asteras: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 9Group 9 - 7Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Neas Ionias, Athína (Athens)
The Footlab AI model makes Nea Ionia the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Ethnikos Asteras. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nea Ionia vs Ethnikos Asteras?
Nea Ionia starts as the favourite with a 232-point Elo edge (1,604 vs 1,372).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nea Ionia vs Ethnikos Asteras
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nea Ionia
Not enough data to predict the Nea Ionia lineup.
Ethnikos Asteras
4-3-3- 23Dimitris Adamakis
- 14Stelios Mastrogiannis
- 40Ilias Mitseas
- GG. Harontakis
- 12E. Dima
- 92Leonidas Kasnetsi
- 6P. Theologou
- 3Atanas Pashkulev
- 32V. Lampropoulos
- 5Nikolaos Pantidos
- 91P. Gusev
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nea Ionia have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Ethnikos Asteras have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Saronikos Anavyssou(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ilisiakos(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Asteras Magoula(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Pannaxiakos(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Acharnaikos(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | AE Mykonos(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Asteras Varis(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Saronikos Anavyssou(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ilisiakos(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 24, 2012 | AEL Kallonis(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Nea Ionia score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ethnikos Asteras score 0.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nea Ionia | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Ethnikos Asteras | 0.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 1/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nea Ionia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Nea Ionia vs Ethnikos Asteras?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nea Ionia vs Ethnikos Asteras?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nea Ionia the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Ethnikos Asteras.
- Where and when is Nea Ionia vs Ethnikos Asteras played?
- Nea Ionia vs Ethnikos Asteras is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Neas Ionias, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.