Nebitci vs Ahal: result 1-4 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 3, 2022 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Balkanabat Stadiony, Balkanabat
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What was the result of Nebitci vs Ahal?
Ahal won 1-4 on September 3, 2022.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nebitci have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Ahal have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2022 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Energetik(away) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Aşgabat(away) | 1-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Merw(home) | 3-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 11, 2022 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 2-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2022 | Aşgabat(away) | 3-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Merw(home) | 3-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 22, 2022 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Şagadam(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 12, 2022 | Energetik(home) | 8-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nebitci win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Ahal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2022 | Ahal 7-0 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Nebitci 0-0 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 25, 2021 | Ahal 2-0 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Nebitci 1-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Ahal 3-0 Nebitci | Ýokary Liga |
| May 13, 2020 | Nebitci 1-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nebitci score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 2.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebitci | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ahal | 2.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nebitci sit 5th in Ýokary Liga (36 points from 28 matches) and Ahal sit 2nd (55 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ahal | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 26 | 55 |
| 5 | Nebitci | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 36 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy