NEC vs Lugazi: result 3-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)MTN Omondi Stadium, Kampala
Full time
What was the result of NEC vs Lugazi?
NEC won 3-1 on September 1, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 52′R. BasangwaNEC
- 57′658627NEC
- 81′658627NEC
- 84′Richard AyikoLugazi
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a NEC win at 64%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEC have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Lugazi have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | KCCA(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Calvary(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | SC Villa(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Kitara(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2026 | BUL(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kigezi HomeBoyz(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Maroons(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 19, 2026 | Express(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | BUL(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Mbarara City(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 NEC wins, 0 draws, 1 Lugazi win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Lugazi 0-2 NEC | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2026 | NEC 1-0 Lugazi | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NEC 2-0 Lugazi | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Lugazi 1-0 NEC | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
NEC score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lugazi score 0.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC | 1.0 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Lugazi | 0.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEC sit 1st in Premier League (23 points from 10 matches) and Lugazi sit 15th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
| 15 | Lugazi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 8 |
A question about NEC vs Lugazi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy