Necaxa vs Leon: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 4Kick-off on August 18, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Full time
What was the result of Necaxa vs Leon?
Leon won 1-2 on August 18, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 27′D. ArcilaLeon
- 65′M. EspíndolaNecaxa
- 72′J. DomínguezLeon
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Necaxa win at 43%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Necaxa vs Leon
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Necaxa
3-4-2-1- 90J. Valencia
- 10J. Ruiz
- 21M. Espíndola
- 88C. Vargas
- 8L. Faravelli
- 6D. Leyva
- 30R. Monreal
- 20F. Mendez
- 4A. Peña
- 5Kaiky Naves
- 12L. Jiménez
Leon
4-1-4-1- 27D. Cambindo
- 13D. Arcila
- 6F. Beltrán
- 20R. Echeverría
- 16J. Cortizo
- 29J. Rodríguez
- 5S. Vegas
- 3Juan José Guevara Possu
- 14J. Romaña
- 7I. Moreno
- 23Ó. García
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Necaxa have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Leon have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | New York City FC(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Chicago Fire(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Monterrey(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Inter Miami(away) | 3-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orlando City SC(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Club Tijuana(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Necaxa wins, 1 draw, 3 Leon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Leon 2-1 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Leon 1-2 Necaxa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Necaxa 0-1 Leon | Liga MX |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Necaxa 2-1 Leon | Liga MX |
| Jul 22, 2024 | Leon 1-1 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Necaxa 1-2 Leon | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Necaxa score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leon score 2.1 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Leon | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Necaxa sit 17th in Liga MX (9 points from 11 matches) and Leon sit 5th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 9 |
A question about Necaxa vs Leon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy