Necaxa vs Toluca: result 3-3 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 6Kick-off on February 10, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Full time
What was the result of Necaxa vs Toluca?
Necaxa and Toluca drew 3-3 on February 10, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 6′J. MenesesToluca
- 27′D. CambindoNecaxa
- 43′B. GarnicaNecaxa
- 68′T. BelmonteToluca
- 77′E. UnsainToluca (o.g.)
- 89′D. CambindoNecaxa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Necaxa have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Toluca have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2024 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 1, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Club America(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Puebla(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Atlas(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | CS Herediano(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Leon(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Puebla(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Mazatlán(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Necaxa win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2023 | Toluca 0-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Toluca 3-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Dec 27, 2022 | Toluca 1-0 Necaxa | Copa por México |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Necaxa 1-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Necaxa 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2021 | Toluca 1-1 Necaxa | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Necaxa score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Toluca | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Necaxa sit 8th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy