Necaxa vs Toluca: result 3-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 12Kick-off on October 2, 2016 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
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What was the result of Necaxa vs Toluca?
Necaxa won 3-1 on October 2, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 5′F. EspíndolaNecaxa
- 25′Jesús Antonio Isijara RodríguezNecaxa
- 34′A. VegaToluca
- 39′E. PuchNecaxa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Necaxa have 2 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Toluca have 4, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2016 | Jaguares de Chiapas(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Club America(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Atlas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Santos Laguna(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Club Queretaro(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2016 | Leon(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Puebla(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Monarcas(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Necaxa score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 11; Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 7/11 | 5/11 |
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/11 | 4/11 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Necaxa sit 8th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy