Necaxa vs Toluca: result 3-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2020 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
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What was the result of Necaxa vs Toluca?
Necaxa won 3-2 on October 31, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 18′D. CabreraToluca (o.g.)
- 31′L. PasseriniNecaxa
- 61′Unai BilbaoNecaxa
- 72′R. SambuezaToluca
- 90′A. ZendejasNecaxa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Necaxa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Toluca have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2020 | Club Queretaro(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Atlas(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 27, 2020 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Puebla(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2020 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 18, 2020 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Cruz Azul(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2020 | CF Pachuca(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Santos Laguna(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Necaxa win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2020 | Toluca 2-3 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Aug 29, 2019 | Necaxa 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 10, 2019 | Necaxa 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Toluca 3-2 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Feb 4, 2018 | Necaxa 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2017 | Toluca 0-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Necaxa score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | 0.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Necaxa sit 8th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy