Needham Market vs Alvechurch: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, Needham Market, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Needham Market. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Needham Market vs Alvechurch?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Needham Market (1,800) and Alvechurch (1,805).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Needham Market have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Alvechurch have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Needham Market win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Alvechurch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alvechurch 2-0 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Alvechurch 1-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Needham Market 1-0 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Alvechurch 0-3 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Needham Market 2-0 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Alvechurch 1-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Alvechurch vs Needham Market on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Needham Market | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Alvechurch | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Needham Market sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 3 matches) and Alvechurch sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 14 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Needham Market vs Alvechurch?
- The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Needham Market.
- Where and when is Needham Market vs Alvechurch played?
- Needham Market vs Alvechurch is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027StourbridgevsPeterborough Sports
- Mar 13, 2027Bury TownvsStratford Town
- Mar 13, 2027Bishop's StortfordvsHalesowen Town
- Mar 13, 2027Redditch UnitedvsHitchin Town
- Mar 13, 2027Rushall OlympicvsLeiston
- Mar 13, 2027Kettering TownvsLeamington
- Mar 13, 2027Anstey NomadsvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Mar 13, 2027Racing Club WarwickvsStamford