Neftçala vs Ağsu: result 3-1 and analysis
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 30, 2012 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nəriman Nərimanov adına Neftçala şəhər stadionu, Neftçala
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What was the result of Neftçala vs Ağsu?
Neftçala won 3-1 on September 30, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftçala have 14 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Ağsu have 3, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2012 | Mingəçevir(away) | 5-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Göyəzən(home) | 6-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Şəmkir(away) | 5-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 12, 2012 | Qaradağ Lökbatan(away) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 6, 2012 | Bakılı(home) | 2-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2012 | Şuşa(home) | 3-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Taraggi(away) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Şahdağ(home) | 4-1 | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftçala score 2.7 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ağsu score 2.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftçala | 2.7 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Ağsu | 2.7 | 0.7 | 1 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy