Neftçala vs Araz: result 1-0 and analysis
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2013 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Nəriman Nərimanov adına Neftçala şəhər stadionu, Neftçala
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What was the result of Neftçala vs Araz?
Neftçala won 1-0 on December 15, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftçala have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Araz have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2013 | Şəmkir(away) | 0-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Dec 4, 2013 | Khazar Lankaran(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Turan(home) | 0-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Qaradağ Lökbatan(away) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 16, 2013 | Imisli FK(home) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2013 | Ağsu(home) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Dec 4, 2013 | Simurq(home) | 4-4 | Cup |
| Nov 29, 2013 | Mingəçevir(away) | 4-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Şuşa(home) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 17, 2013 | MOIK(away) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftçala score 2.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Araz score 2.3 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftçala | 2.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Araz | 2.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy