Neftçala vs Şəmkir: result 1-0 and analysis
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 22, 2014 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Nəriman Nərimanov adına Neftçala şəhər stadionu, Neftçala
Full time
What was the result of Neftçala vs Şəmkir?
Neftçala won 1-0 on February 22, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftçala have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Şəmkir have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2014 | Mingəçevir(home) | 8-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Feb 9, 2014 | Ağsu(away) | 2-3 | Birinci Dasta |
| Dec 21, 2013 | Göyəzən(away) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Dec 15, 2013 | Araz(home) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Dec 8, 2013 | Şəmkir(away) | 0-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2014 | MOIK(away) | 2-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Dec 20, 2013 | Turan(home) | 0-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Dec 14, 2013 | Qaradağ Lökbatan(away) | 0-3 | Birinci Dasta |
| Dec 8, 2013 | Neftçala(home) | 0-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Ağsu(away) | 0-0 | Birinci Dasta |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Neftçala win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Şəmkir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2013 | Şəmkir 0-0 Neftçala | Birinci Dasta |
| May 18, 2013 | Neftçala 6-1 Şəmkir | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Şəmkir 1-5 Neftçala | Birinci Dasta |
| Feb 25, 2012 | Neftçala 2-0 Şəmkir | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Şəmkir 0-2 Neftçala | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftçala score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Şəmkir score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftçala | 2.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Şəmkir | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy