Neftçala vs Taraggi: result 3-1 and analysis
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 9, 2011 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Nəriman Nərimanov adına Neftçala şəhər stadionu, Neftçala
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What was the result of Neftçala vs Taraggi?
Neftçala won 3-1 on October 9, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Neftçala have 1 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Taraggi have 2, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2011 | Şəmkir(away) | 2-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 24, 2011 | MOIK(home) | 2-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Mingəçevir(away) | 0-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Qaradağ Lökbatan(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2011 | Karvan(away) | 1-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Şahdağ(home) | 3-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Şuşa(away) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftçala score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 4; Taraggi score 1.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftçala | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
| Taraggi | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy