Neftchi Baku vs Araz: result 0-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 1, 2024 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
Full time
What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Araz?
Araz won 0-1 on November 1, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 30′Felipe SantosAraz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Araz have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Səbail(home) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Kapaz(away) | 3-4 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Sumqayıt(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Qarabag(away) | 0-4 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | Şahdağ(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Zira(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Sabah FA(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Səbail(home) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Neftchi Baku win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Araz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2024 | Araz 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Neftchi Baku 3-0 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Araz 1-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Neftchi Baku 1-1 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Araz 1-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Araz score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Araz | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Araz sit 9th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Araz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy