Neftchi Baku vs HJK Helsinki: result 2-2 and analysis
UEFA Europa League3rd Qualifying RoundKick-off on August 3, 2021 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
Full time
What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs HJK Helsinki?
Neftchi Baku and HJK Helsinki drew 2-2 on August 3, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 59′S. BougrineNeftchi Baku
- 61′R. RiskiHJK Helsinki
- 65′JairHJK Helsinki
- 80′E. MahmudovNeftchi Baku
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; HJK Helsinki have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2021 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 21, 2021 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 14, 2021 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 7, 2021 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jun 29, 2021 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2021 | SJK(home) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 27, 2021 | Malmo FF(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Haka(home) | 2-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 21, 2021 | Malmo FF(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 17, 2021 | AC Oulu(away) | 1-2 | Veikkausliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; HJK Helsinki score 1.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| HJK Helsinki | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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