Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz: result 5-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz?
Neftchi Baku won 5-1 on November 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 18′E. MahmudovNeftchi Baku (pen.)
- 23′V. AboubakarNeftchi Baku
- 74′B. SambouNeftchi Baku
- 78′S. ShafiyevKapaz
- 87′B. SambouNeftchi Baku
- 90′F. VargasNeftchi Baku
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Kapaz have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | MOIK(home) | 6-2 | Cup |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Qabala(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Araz(home) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Zira(away) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Karvan(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | Ağstafa Gəncləri(home) | 6-1 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Imisli FK(home) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 4-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Qarabag(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Turan(away) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Neftchi Baku win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kapaz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Neftchi Baku 2-2 Kapaz | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Kapaz 1-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Neftchi Baku 1-0 Kapaz | Cup |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Kapaz 0-2 Neftchi Baku | Cup |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Neftchi Baku 2-1 Kapaz | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Kapaz 4-3 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kapaz score 1.0 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Kapaz | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Kapaz sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy