Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz: result 4-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 19, 2012 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz?
Neftchi Baku won 4-1 on October 19, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 5′E. ÄliyevKapaz
- 23′105758Neftchi Baku
- 26′N. CanalesNeftchi Baku
- 64′N. CanalesNeftchi Baku
- 70′A. AbdullayevNeftchi Baku
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Kapaz have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2012 | Turan(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 24, 2012 | Sumqayıt(away) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Khazar Lankaran(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Qabala(home) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Qarabag(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2012 | Qarabag(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Rəvan(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 24, 2012 | Simurq(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Qabala(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Bakı(away) | 1-3 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Neftchi Baku win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kapaz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2011 | Neftchi Baku 2-0 Kapaz | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Kapaz 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz on Dec 21, 2011
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kapaz score 0.7 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Kapaz | 0.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Kapaz sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy