Neftchi Baku vs Qabala: result 3-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 28, 2024 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qabala?
Neftchi Baku won 3-1 on January 28, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 61′E. MahmudovNeftchi Baku (pen.)
- 67′D. ValdezNeftchi Baku
- 87′E. SəfərovQabala
- 90′B. MorenoNeftchi Baku
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Qabala have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 24, 2023 | Kapaz(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 21, 2023 | Qaradağ Lökbatan(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Qarabag(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Turan(home) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | Sumqayıt(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 22, 2023 | Sabah FA(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Imisli FK(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Səbail(away) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Kapaz(home) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Neftchi Baku win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Qabala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2023 | Qabala 0-2 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Neftchi Baku 2-0 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Neftchi Baku 0-1 Qabala | Cup |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Neftchi Baku 1-2 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Qabala 0-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Neftchi Baku 2-0 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Qabala vs Neftchi Baku on Nov 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Qabala score 0.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Qabala | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qabala sit 11th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Qabala | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy