Neftchi Baku vs Qabala: result 2-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaChampionship Round - 5Kick-off on April 21, 2013 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qabala?
Neftchi Baku won 2-1 on April 21, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 53′Dênis Silva CruzNeftchi Baku
- 65′Aleksandr ÇertoqanovQabala
- 69′N. CanalesNeftchi Baku
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Qabala have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | Simurq(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 6, 2013 | Qarabag(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 30, 2013 | İnter Bakı(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 12, 2013 | Bakı(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 3, 2013 | Turan(away) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | Bakı(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 5, 2013 | Simurq(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 30, 2013 | Qarabag(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 13, 2013 | İnter Bakı(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 3, 2013 | Şüvəlan(away) | 1-6 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Neftchi Baku win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Qabala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2012 | Qabala 2-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Neftchi Baku 3-0 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| May 11, 2012 | Neftchi Baku 0-1 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 11, 2012 | Qabala 4-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 20, 2011 | Qabala 1-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Neftchi Baku 2-0 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Qabala vs Neftchi Baku on Nov 3, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Qabala score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Qabala | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qabala sit 11th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Qabala | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy