Neftchi Baku vs Qabala: result 1-0 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on February 20, 2021 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qabala?
Neftchi Baku won 1-0 on February 20, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 90′E. MahmudovNeftchi Baku
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Qabala have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | Qarabag(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Zira(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Feb 2, 2021 | Zira(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jan 21, 2021 | Səbail(away) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 24, 2020 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2021 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 6, 2021 | Qarabag(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Feb 1, 2021 | Qarabag(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Jan 25, 2021 | Turan(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Jan 21, 2021 | Zira(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Neftchi Baku win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Qabala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2020 | Qabala 1-4 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Neftchi Baku 1-1 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Qabala 0-2 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Neftchi Baku 4-1 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Qabala 0-3 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| May 5, 2019 | Qabala 1-3 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Qabala vs Neftchi Baku on Nov 22, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Qabala score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Qabala | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qabala sit 11th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Qabala | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy