Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 1-4 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 3, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 1-4 on March 3, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 47′N. AxundzadəQarabag
- 60′T. BayramovQarabag (pen.)
- 71′F. OzobićNeftchi Baku (pen.)
- 90′T. BayramovQarabag
- 90′Leandro AndradeQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Qarabag have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | Turan(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Zira(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Araz(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Sumqayıt(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Sumqayıt(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2024 | Qabala(away) | 4-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Sumqayıt(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 22, 2024 | SC Braga(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Feb 15, 2024 | SC Braga(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Sabah FA(home) | 3-3 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Neftchi Baku win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2023 | Qarabag 2-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Neftchi Baku 0-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| May 2, 2023 | Neftchi Baku 2-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Qarabag 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Neftchi Baku 0-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Qarabag 3-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku on Dec 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 2.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Qarabag | 2.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy