Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 0-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 16, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 0-1 on February 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 89′M. JankovićQarabag (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Qarabag have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2025 | Zira(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Kapaz(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Araz(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Sabah FA(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025 | Səbail(home) | 5-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Səbail(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Zira(away) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Turan(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Neftchi Baku win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | Neftchi Baku 0-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Qarabag 4-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| May 4, 2024 | Qarabag 5-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Qarabag 4-1 Neftchi Baku | Cup |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Neftchi Baku 0-4 Qarabag | Cup |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Neftchi Baku 1-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag on Dec 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.9 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy