Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 2-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on April 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Neftchi Baku won 2-1 on April 30, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 55′E. SafarovNeftchi Baku
- 85′E. BədəlovQarabag (o.g.)
- 90′B. SambouNeftchi Baku
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Qarabag have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 1-5 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Zira(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Araz(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Sumqayıt(away) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Imisli FK(home) | 6-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 5-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Karvan(home) | 7-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Neftchi Baku win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Neftchi Baku 1-5 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Qarabag 2-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Qarabag 3-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Neftchi Baku 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Neftchi Baku 0-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Qarabag 4-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 2.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Qarabag | 2.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy