Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 3-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 28, 2018 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Neftchi Baku won 3-1 on October 28, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 10′A. HüseynovNeftchi Baku (o.g.)
- 26′M. AbbasovNeftchi Baku
- 87′B. DaboNeftchi Baku
- 87′M. EmreliQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Qarabag have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | Qabala(away) | 1-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 5, 2018 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Səbail(home) | 4-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Zira(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 16, 2018 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2018 | Vorskla Poltava(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Səbail(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Arsenal(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 26, 2018 | Zira(home) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Neftchi Baku win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2018 | Qarabag 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| May 6, 2018 | Qarabag 0-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 14, 2018 | Neftchi Baku 0-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 1, 2017 | Qarabag 1-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 11, 2017 | Neftchi Baku 1-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 29, 2017 | Neftchi Baku 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku on Aug 26, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy