Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 1-3 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 11, 2017 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 1-3 on August 11, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 15′M. EmreliQarabag
- 40′M. EmreliQarabag
- 62′D. NdlovuQarabag
- 90′R. ƏmirquliyevNeftchi Baku (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Qarabag have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2017 | Qarabag(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 23, 2017 | Zira(away) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 15, 2017 | Şüvəlan(home) | 4-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 9, 2017 | Kapaz(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 5, 2017 | Qarabag(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2017 | Sheriff Tiraspol(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 25, 2017 | Sheriff Tiraspol(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 18, 2017 | Samtredia(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 11, 2017 | Samtredia(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| May 5, 2017 | Qabala(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Neftchi Baku win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2017 | Neftchi Baku 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 5, 2017 | Qarabag 0-0 Neftchi Baku | Cup |
| Mar 30, 2017 | Neftchi Baku 0-2 Qarabag | Cup |
| Jan 29, 2017 | Qarabag 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 25, 2016 | Neftchi Baku 0-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Qarabag 3-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag on Apr 29, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.7 and concede 0.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.7 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy