Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 0-2 and analysis
CupSemi-finalsKick-off on March 30, 2017 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 0-2 on March 30, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 13′Muarem MuaremQarabag
- 28′D. NdlovuQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Qarabag have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | İnter Bakı(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 14, 2017 | Qabala(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 5, 2017 | Zira(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 27, 2017 | Şüvəlan(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 18, 2017 | Kapaz(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2017 | Zira(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 14, 2017 | Şüvəlan(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 4, 2017 | Sumqayıt(away) | 4-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 28, 2017 | İnter Bakı(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 19, 2017 | Qabala(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Neftchi Baku win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2017 | Qarabag 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 25, 2016 | Neftchi Baku 0-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Qarabag 3-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| May 25, 2016 | Qarabag 1-0 Neftchi Baku | Cup |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Neftchi Baku 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 20, 2016 | Qarabag 2-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku on Jan 29, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 2.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Qarabag | 2.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy